Publications

Publications

The Earth Knowledge Science Council serve on International Panels, Advisory Boards and contribute to the following reports and publications.

Earth Knowledge Science Council have contributed to the following major publications:

IPCC Logo

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

NCA5 Logo

5th National Climate Assessment

IPBES - Logo

Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services

NOAA logo

NOAA Science Advisory Board

Nasa Logo

NASA

US Department of Energy Logo

U.S. Department of Energy

A curated selection of journals is provided below.

Climate Change & Resulting Impacts

  • Wuebbles, D. J., and K. E. Kunkel, 2026: Our changing climate is presenting major challenges to the Great Lakes region. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA), https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.70078.
  • Ibrahim, H. D., P. Li, A. Sharma and D. J. Wuebbles, 2026: Simulated impacts of nature-based solutions on flooding in the Upper Illinois River basin. J. Hydrologic Engineering, 31(1): 04025049. https://doi.org/10.1061/JHYEFF.HEENG-6279.
  • Wuebbles, D. J., 2026: Modeling the Earth system: Enhancing representation of the climate and natural capital nexus. Climate and Sustainability Engineering, available online. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eng.2026.05.001.
  • Rath, S. S., K. E. Kunkel, D. J. Wuebbles, and D. R. Easterling, 2026: Evaluating the 1.5°C or 2°C Climate Thresholds: When Could These Thresholds be Surpassed? Environmental Res. Lett., in press.
  • Wuebbles, D. J., and A. K. Jain, 2026: Key issues and challenges in accounting for greenhouse gas emissions. Chapter 3 in Agriculture, Land Use and the Path to Net Zero, R. Rees and J. Eivind Olesen, editors, BSD Publishing, Cambridge, UK, in press.
  • Rath, S. S., K. E. Kunkel, D. J. Wuebbles, and D. R. Easterling, 2026: Global distribution of temperature continues to shift towards warmer extremes. About to be submitted for journal publication.
  • Young, A., R. Kelly, F. Seglenieks, A. Di Luca, A. Gronewold, J. Jorns, A. Hutson, P. Xue, D. Wuebbles, et al. 2026: Advancing Laurentian Great Lakes climate and lake modeling: A binational synthesis from the 2025 Great Lakes Modeling Workshop. Earth’s Future, submitted.
  • Killeen, T. L., D. J. Wuebbles, and J. E. Lane, editors, 2025: Pathways to Sustainability.: Collaborative Solutions for a Resilient Future. University of Illinois Press, Champaign, 272 pages. https://www.press.uillinois.edu/books/?id=p089077.
  • Wuebbles, D. J., 2025: Understanding and Addressing the Climate and Natural Capital Nexus. Chapter 6 in Pathways to Sustainability, Killeen, T. L., D. J. Wuebbles, and J. E. Lane, editors, University of Illinois Press, Champaign, 2025. https://www.press.uillinois.edu/books/?id=p089077.
  • Vörösmarty, C. J., P. E. Campana, G. Jewitt, R. Lawford, and D. Wuebbles, 2024: Food-Energy-Water systems: Achieving climate resilience and sustainable development in the 21st Century. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 11:1334892, https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2023.1334892
  • Hayhoe, K., I. Scott-Fleming, A. Stoner and D. J. Wuebbles, 2024: STAR-ESDM: A generalizable approach to generating high-resolution climate projections through signal decomposition. Earth’s Future, http://dx.doi.org/10.22541/essoar.169462036.65393270/v1
  • Vörösmarty, C. J., P. E. Campana, G. Jewitt, R. Lawford, and D. Wuebbles, 2024: Food-Energy-Water systems: Achieving climate resilience and sustainable development in the 21st Century. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 11:1334892, https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2023.1334892
  • Hayhoe, K., I. Scott-Fleming, A. Stoner and D. J. Wuebbles, 2024: STAR-ESDM: A generalizable approach to generating high-resolution climate projections through signal decomposition. Earth’s Future, DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.22541/essoar.169462036.65393270/v1
  • Vörösmarty, C. J., J. M. Melillo, D. J. Wuebbles, A. K. Jain, A. W. Ando, M. Chen, S. Tuler, R. Smith, D. Kicklighter, F. Corsi, B. Fekete, A. Miara, H. H. Bokhari, J. Chang, T.-S. Lin, N. Maxfield, S. Sanyal, J. Zhang, and D. Vignoles, 2024: The C-FEWS Framework: Supporting Studies of Climate-induced Extremes on Food, Energy, and Water Systems at the Regional Scale. Frontiers in Environmental Sciences, https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2023.1069613
  • Vörösmarty, C. J., J. M. Melillo, D. J. Wuebbles, A. K. Jain, A. W. Ando, M. Chen, S. Tuler, R. Smith, D. Kicklighter, F. Corsi, B. Fekete, A. Miara, H. H. Bokhari, J. Chang, T.-S. Lin, N. Maxfield, S. Sanyal, and J. Zhang, 2024: Applying a Framework to Study Climate-induced Extremes on Food, Energy, and Water Systems (C-FEWS): The Role of Engineered and Natural Infrastructures, Technology, and Environmental Management in the U.S. Northeast and Midwest. Frontiers in Environmental Sciences, 11, https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2023.1070144
  • Zhang, J., D. Wuebbles, D. Kinnison, J. Holger Pfaender, S. Tilmes, and N. Davis, 2023: Potential Impacts on Ozone and Climate from a Proposed Fleet of Supersonic Aircraft. Earth’s Future, 11, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003409
  • Ibrahim, H.D., and D.J. Wuebbles, 2023: Interannual variability of hydrologic quantities in the Missouri River basin. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.13117
  • Li, P., A. Sharma, Z. Wang, and D. Wuebbles, 2023: Assessing impacts of environmental perturbations on urban biogenic carbon exchange in the Chicago region, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (JAMES), 15, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003867
  • Wuebbles, D. J., 2023: Can Global Mean Temperatures be Held to 1.5°C or Less Without Major Efforts in Carbon Removal / Geoengineering? Journal of Climate Action, Research and Policy, 1, https://doi.org/10.1142/S2972312423500017
  • Wuebbles, D. J., 2023: Climate Change: From Science to Solutions. Chapter 1 in Routledge Handbook of Climate Change and Society, S. Brechin, editor, in press.
  • National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (Chair of Committee and Author), 2022: Greenhouse Gas Emissions Information for Decision Making: A Framework GoingForward. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, https://doi.org/10.17226/26641
  • Wuebbles, D. J., 2022: The future of travel and tourism in the changing climate. International Affairs Forum, 14, 1, 18-13, March 22.
  • Sanyal, S., and D. Wuebbles, 2022: The potential impact of a clean energy society on air quality. Earth’s Future, 10, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002558
  • Wuebbles, D., J. Angel, K. Peterson, A. M. Lemke, 2021: An Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Illinois. The Nature Conservancy. https://doi.org/10.13012/B2IDB-1260194_V1
  • Sharma, A., D. J. Wuebbles and R. Kotamarthi, 2021: The need for urban-resolving climate modeling across scales. AGU Advances, 2, e2020AV000271, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020AV000271
  • Makra, E., N. Gardiner, et al. (D. J. Wuebbles - coauthor), 2021. Climate Action Plan for the Chicago Region, Metropolitan Mayors Caucus, NOAA, and U.S. Climate Resilience Toolkit.
  • Wuebbles, D. J., 2021: Ethics in climate change: A climate scientist’s perspective. Chapter in Geoethics: Status and Future Perspectives. Editors: G. Di Capua, P. T. Bobrowsky, S. W. Kieffer, and C. Palinkas. The Geological Society, London, publisher.
  • Zhang, J., D. Wuebbles, D. Kinnison, and S. L. Baughcum, 2021: Stratospheric ozone and climate forcing sensitivity to cruise altitudes for fleets of potential supersonic transport aircraft. J. Geophys. Res., 126, e2021JD034971, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD034971
  • Wuebbles, D. J., 2020: Ethics in climate change: A climate scientist’s perspective. The Geological Society of London, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1144/SP508-2020-17
  • Sharma, A., D. J. Wuebbles, R. Kotamarthi, K. Calvin, B. Drewniak, C. E. Catlett, and R. Jacob, 2020: Urban scale processes and their representation in high spatial resolution Earth System Models (ESMs). BAMS, 101, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0114.1
  • Kinnison, D., G. Brasseur, S. L. Baughcum, J. Zhang, and D. Wuebbles, 2020: The impact on the ozone layer of a potential fleet of civil hypersonic aircraft. Earth Future, 8, e2020EF001626. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001626
  • UK Royal Society and U.S. National Academy of Sciences (coauthor), 2020: Climate Change: Evidence and Causes. Update 2020. National Academy Press, Washington, DC
  • Wuebbles, D., A. Sharma, A. Ando, L. Zhao, and C. Rigsbee, 2020: Converging on solutions to plan sustainable cities. Eos, 101,https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EO150149. Published on 07 October 2020. In printed version of EOS in January 2021.
  • Stoner, A. M. K., Daniel, J. S., Jacobs, J. M., Hayhoe, K., & Scott-Fleming, I. (2019). Quantifying the Impact of Climate Change on Flexible Pavement Performance and Lifetime in the United States. Transportation Research Record, 2673(1), 110-122. https://doi.org/10.1177/0361198118821877
  • Stoner, A.M.K., Hayhoe, K., Yang, X. and Wuebbles, D.J. (2013), An asynchronous regional regression model for statistical downscaling of daily climate variables. Int. J. Climatol., 33: 2473-2494. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3603
  • Stoner, A. M. K., K. Hayhoe, and D. J. Wuebbles, 2009: Assessing General Circulation Model Simulations of Atmospheric Teleconnection Patterns. J. Climate, 22, 4348–4372, https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2577.1

Watershed Modeling and Climate Change Threats

  • Flint AL, Flint LE, Stern MA, Ackerly DD, Boynton R, Thorne JH. Characterizing Soil and Bedrock Water Use of Native California Vegetation. Hydrology. 2024; 11(12):211. https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology11120211
  • Van Schmidt, N. D., T. S. Wilson, L. E. Flint, and R. Langridge. 2023. Trade-offs in adapting to changes in climate, land use, and water availability in California. Ecology and Society 28(4):9. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-14261-280409
  • Flint, L.E., Flint, A.L., and Stern, M.A., 2021, The basin characterization model—A regional water balance software package: U.S. Geological Survey Techniques and Methods 6–H1, 85 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/tm6H1
  • Curtis, J.A., Flint, L.E., Stern, M.A. et al. Amplified Impact of Climate Change on Fine-Sediment Delivery to a Subsiding Coast, Humboldt Bay, California. Estuaries and Coasts 44, 2173–2193 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-021-00938-x
  • Torregrosa, A., L.E. Flint, and A.L. Flint. 2020. “Hydrologic Resilience from Summertime Fog and Recharge: A Case Study for CohoSalmon Recovery Planning.” Journal of the American Water Resources Association 56 (1): 134–160. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.12811

Recharge Modeling

  • Mekonen, S.S.; Boyce, S.E.; Mohammed, A.K.; Flint, L.; Flint, A.; Disse, M. Recharge Estimation Approach in a Data-Scarce Semi-Arid Region, Northern Ethiopian Rift Valley. Sustainability 2023, 15, 15887. https://doi.org/10.3390/su152215887
  • Wilson, T.S., Matchett, E., Byrd, K.B. et al. Climate and land change impacts on future managed wetland habitat: a case study from California’s Central Valley. Landsc Ecol 37, 861–881 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-021-01398-1
  • Stern, M.A., L.E. Flint, A.L. Flint, and A.H. Christensen. 2021. “A Basin-Scale Approach to Estimating Recharge in the Desert:Anza-Cahuilla Groundwater Basin, CA.” Journal of the American Water Resources Association 57 (6): 990–1003. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.12971

Wildfire & Forestry Health

  • Park IW, Mann ML, Flint LE, Flint AL, Moritz M (2021) Relationships of climate, human activity, and fire history to spatiotemporal variation in annual fire probability across California. PLOS ONE 16(11): e0254723. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0254723
  • Lorraine E. Flint, Emma C. Underwood, Alan L. Flint, and Allan D. Hollander “Characterizing the Influence of Fire on Hydrology in Southern California,” Natural Areas Journal 39(1), 108-121, (6 March 2019). https://doi.org/10.3375/043.039.0108